Abaphathiswa bezangaphandle be-European Union badibene eBrussels ngomhla we-19 ukuze baqalise ngokusesikweni umsebenzi wokupheleka abantu baseLwandle oluBomvu.
Isicwangciso sokusebenza sihlala unyaka omnye kwaye singahlaziywa, i-CCTV News ibike njalo. Ngokwengxelo, kusaza kuthatha iiveki ezininzi ukusuka ekuqalisweni ngokusemthethweni ukuya ekuphunyezweni kwemisebenzi ethile yokupheleka. IBelgium, i-Itali, iJamani, iFransi kunye namanye amazwe aceba ukuthumela iinqanawa zemfazwe kummandla woLwandle oluBomvu.
Ingxaki yoLwandle oluBomvu isaqhubeka. Ngokwezibalo zamva nje ezivela kwiClarkson Research, amandla eenqanawa ezingena kwiGulf of Aden ngokweetoni ezipheleleyo ukususela nge-5 ukuya kwi-11 kaFebruwari ehle nge-71% xa kuthelekiswa nesiqingatha sokuqala sikaDisemba kunyaka ophelileyo, kwaye ukwehla kuyafana nokweveki ephelileyo.
Izibalo zibonisa ukuba ithrafikhi yeenqanawa zeekhonteyina ihlale incinci kakhulu phakathi evekini (yehle ngama-89 ekhulwini ukusuka kwinqanaba kwisiqingatha sokuqala sikaDisemba). Nangona amazinga okuthutha impahla ehlile kwiiveki zakutshanje, asephezulu ngokuphindwe kabini ukuya kathathu kunokuba ayenjalo ngaphambi kwengxaki yoLwandle oluBomvu. Ukuqeshisa iinqanawa zeekhonteyina kuqhubekile nokunyuka kancinci kwixesha elifanayo kwaye ngoku kungaphezulu ngama-26 ekhulwini kwinqanaba labo kwisiqingatha sokuqala sikaDisemba, ngokutsho kweClarkson Research.
UMichael Saunders, umcebisi omkhulu wezoqoqosho kwi-Oxford Economics, uthe ukusukela phakathi kuNovemba ka-2023, amazinga okuthutha ulwandle kwihlabathi liphela anyuke malunga nama-200%, apho ukuthutha ulwandle ukusuka e-Asia ukuya eYurophu kunyuke malunga nama-300%. “Kukho iimpawu zokuqala zale mpembelelo kuphando lwezoshishino eYurophu, kunye nokuphazamiseka kweshedyuli yemveliso, amaxesha amade okuhambisa kunye namaxabiso aphezulu okungenisa abavelisi. Silindele ukuba ezi ndleko, ukuba ziyaqhubeka, zongeze kakhulu kwiindlela ezithile zokulinganisa ukunyuka kwamaxabiso kunyaka olandelayo okanye ngaphezulu.” “Utshilo.”
Impembelelo enkulu iya kuba kurhwebo olufana neemveliso zeoyile ezicociweyo
Ngomhla wesi-8 kweyoMdumba, inqanawa yomkhosi wamanzi yaseJamani iHessen yashiya izibuko layo laseWilhelmshaven isiya kuLwandle lweMeditera. Umfanekiso: Agence France-Presse
Iindaba zeCCTV zibike ukuba inqanawa yomkhosi yaseJamani iHessen yaqalisa uhambo oluya kuLwandle lweMeditera nge-8 kaFebruwari. IBelgium iceba ukuthumela inqanawa yomkhosi kwiMeditera nge-27 kaMatshi. Ngokwesicwangciso, imikhosi ye-EU iya kukwazi ukuvula umlilo ukukhusela iinqanawa zorhwebo okanye ukuzikhusela, kodwa ayiyi kuhlasela ngokukhutheleyo izikhundla zamaHouthi eYemen.
Njenge "sikhululo esingaphambili" seSuez Canal, uLwandle oluBomvu yindlela ebaluleke kakhulu yokuthumela impahla. Ngokutsho kweClarkson Research, malunga ne-10% yorhwebo lwaselwandle oludlula kuLwandle oluBomvu minyaka le, apho izikhongozeli ezidlula kuLwandle oluBomvu zenza malunga ne-20% yorhwebo lweekhongozeli zaselwandle kwihlabathi liphela.
Ingxaki yoLwandle oluBomvu ayizukusonjululwa kwixesha elifutshane, nto leyo echaphazela urhwebo lwehlabathi. Ngokutsho kweClarkson Research, ithrafikhi yeenqanawa zokuthutha imithwalo yehle ngama-51% xa kuthelekiswa nesiqingatha sokuqala sikaDisemba kunyaka ophelileyo, ngelixa ithrafikhi yeenqanawa ezinkulu yehle ngama-51% kwixesha elifanayo.
Izibalo zibonisa ukuba iindlela ezisetyenzisiweyo kwimarike yeenqanawa zamva nje ziyinkimbinkimbi, phakathi kwazo, amazinga okuthutha impahla ukusuka eMpuma Ephakathi ukuya eYurophu asephezulu kakhulu kunasekuqaleni kukaDisemba kunyaka ophelileyo. Umzekelo, izinga lokuthutha impahla ngobuninzi beenkampani zemveliso ze-LR2 lingaphezulu kwe-$7 yezigidi, eliphantsi ukusuka kwi-$9 yezigidi ekupheleni kukaJanuwari, kodwa liphezulu kunezinga le-$3.5 yezigidi kwisiqingatha sokuqala sikaDisemba.
Kwangaxeshanye, akukho zithwali zegesi yendalo ezinyibilikisiweyo (LNG) ezidlule kule ndawo ukusukela phakathi kuJanuwari, kwaye umthamo wezithuthi zegesi yepetroliyam (LPG) ezinyibilikisiweyo wehle ngama-90%. Nangona ingxaki yoLwandle oluBomvu inempembelelo enkulu kakhulu ekuthuthweni kwezithuthi zegesi ezinyibilikisiweyo, inempembelelo encinci kwimarike yezothutho lwegesi olunyibilikisiweyo kunye nokuqeshiswa kweenqanawa, ngelixa ezinye izinto (kuquka izinto zonyaka, njl.njl.) zinempembelelo enkulu kwimarike ngexesha elifanayo, kwaye izithuthi zegesi kunye nokuqeshisa ziye zehla kakhulu.
Idatha yophando lukaClarkson ibonisa ukuba umthamo weenqanawa ezidlula eCape of Good Hope kwiveki ephelileyo wawuphezulu ngama-60% kunesiqingatha sokuqala sikaDisemba 2023 (kwisiqingatha sesibini sikaJanuwari 2024, umthamo weenqanawa ezidlula eCape of Good Hope wawuphezulu ngama-62% kunesiqingatha sokuqala sikaDisemba kunyaka ophelileyo), kwaye zizonke iinqanawa ezimalunga nama-580 zeekhonteyina ngoku zihambahamba.
Iindleko zempahla ezithunyelwa ngabathengi zinyuke kakhulu
Izibalo zophando lukaClarkson zibonisa ukuba iindleko zokuthutha iimpahla zabathengi zinyuke kakhulu, kodwa azikaphezulu njengangexesha lobhubhane.
Isizathu soku kukuba, kwiimpahla ezininzi, iindleko zokuthutha ulwandle zithatha inxalenye encinci yexabiso leempahla zabathengi ngokwazo. Umzekelo, iindleko zokuthumela izihlangu ukusuka e-Asia ukuya eYurophu zazimalunga ne-$0.19 ngoNovemba kunyaka ophelileyo, zanda zaya kwi-$0.76 phakathi kuJanuwari 2024, zaza zehla zaya kwi-$0.66 phakathi kuFebruwari. Xa kuthelekiswa, kwincopho yobhubhane ekuqaleni kuka-2022, iindleko zinokufikelela ngaphezulu kwe-$1.90.
Ngokutsho kovavanyo olunikwe yi-Oxford Economics, ixabiso eliqhelekileyo lokuthengisa lesikhongozeli limalunga ne-$300,000, kwaye iindleko zokuthumela ikhongozeli ukusuka e-Asia ukuya eYurophu zinyuke malunga ne-$4,000 ukusukela ekuqaleni kukaDisemba 2023, nto leyo ebonisa ukuba ixabiso eliqhelekileyo leempahla ezingaphakathi kwisikhongozeli linganyuka nge-1.3% ukuba ixabiso elipheleleyo lidluliswa.
Umzekelo, e-UK, iipesenti ezingama-24 zezinto ezithunyelwa ngaphandle zivela e-Asia kwaye izinto ezithunyelwa ngaphandle zenza malunga neepesenti ezingama-30 zesalathiso samaxabiso abathengi, oko kuthetha ukuba ukunyuka ngokuthe ngqo kwamaxabiso kuya kuba ngaphantsi kwe-0.2 yeepesenti.
UMnu. Saunders uthe ukothuka okubi kwiindlela zokubonelela ngeenkonzo okubangelwa kukunyuka okukhulu kwamaxabiso okutya, amandla kunye neempahla ezithengiswa kwihlabathi liphela kuyehla. Nangona kunjalo, ingxaki yoLwandle oluBomvu kunye nokunyuka okukhulu kweendleko zokuthumela izinto kudala ukothuka okutsha kokubonelela ngeenkonzo, ukuba kuyaqhubeka, kunokongeza uxinzelelo olutsha olunyukayo kumaxabiso kamva kulo nyaka.
Kwiminyaka emithathu edlulileyo, amazinga okunyuka kwamaxabiso anyuke kakhulu kumazwe amaninzi ngenxa yezizathu ezahlukeneyo, kwaye ukuguquguquka kwamaxabiso kunyuke kakhulu. "Kutshanje, ezi meko zimbi ziqale ukwehla kwaye ukunyuka kwamaxabiso kwehle ngokukhawuleza. Kodwa ingxaki yoLwandle oluBomvu inokubangela ukothuka okutsha kokubonelela ngeenkonzo." "Utshilo."
Uqikelele ukuba ukuba ukunyuka kwamaxabiso bekungaguquguquki ngakumbi kwaye ulindelo lusabela ngakumbi kwiintshukumo zamaxabiso zokwenyani, iibhanki eziphambili ziya kuba nokwenzeka ngakumbi ukuba ziqinise umgaqo-nkqubo wezemali ngenxa yokunyuka kwamaxabiso, nokuba oko kubangelwa kukuphazamiseka okwethutyana, ukuze kuphinde kuzinziswe ulindelo.
Imithombo: First Financial, Sina Finance, Zhejiang Trade Promotion, Network
Ixesha leposi: Februwari-22-2024