Njengoko imeko kuLwandle Olubomvu iya isiba shushu, iinqanawa ezininzi zeekhonteyina zidlula indlela yeRed Sea-Suez Canal ukuze zidlule kwiCape of Good Hope, kwaye amaxabiso omthwalo we-Asia-Yurophu kunye ne-Asia-Meditera kurhwebo aphindeke kane.

Abahambisi benqanawa bangxamele ukufaka iiodolo kwangethuba ukuze banciphise ifuthe lamaxesha amade okuhamba ukusuka e-Asia ukuya eYurophu.Nangona kunjalo, ngenxa yokulibaziseka kuhambo lokubuyela, ukunikezelwa kwezixhobo ezingenanto ezingenanto kummandla wase-Asia kunzima kakhulu, kwaye iinkampani zokuthumela zilinganiselwe kwi-volume ephezulu "izivumelwano ze-VIP" okanye abathumeli abazimisele ukuhlawula amaxabiso aphezulu okuthutha.

Nangona kunjalo, akukabikho siqinisekiso sokuba zonke iikhonteyina eziziswe kwi-terminal ziya kuthunyelwa ngaphambi koNyaka oMtsha waseTshayina nge-10 kaFebruwari, njengoko abathwali baya kukhetha ngokukhethekileyo imithwalo yemithwalo enamaxabiso aphezulu kunye nokuhlehliswa kwezivumelwano ngamaxabiso aphantsi.

Amaxabiso kaFebruwari angaphezulu kwe-10,000 yeedola

Ngexesha le-12 lendawo, i-US Consumer News kunye ne-Business Channel yabika ukuba ixesha elide ukuxhatshazwa kwangoku kuLwandle oluBomvu kuqhubeka, impembelelo enkulu ekuthuthweni kwehlabathi, iindleko zokuthumela ziya kuba phezulu kwaye ziphezulu.Imeko yokufudumala kuLwandle Olubomvu inefuthe elibi, inyusa amaxabiso enqanawa kwihlabathi jikelele.

Ngokwezibalo, ezichatshazelwe yimeko kuLwandle oluBomvu, amaxabiso othutho kwiikhonteyina kwezinye iindlela zaseAsia-Yurophu anyuke phantse nge-600% kutshanje.Kwangaxeshanye, ukuze kuhlawulelwe ukunqunyanyiswa kwendlela yoLwandle oluBomvu, iinkampani ezininzi zeenqanawa zisusa iinqanawa zazo kwezinye iindlela ziye eAsia-Yurophu naseAsia-Meditera, nto leyo enyusa iindleko zokuthumela kwezinye iindlela.

Ngokwengxelo kwiwebhusayithi ye-Loadstar, ixabiso lendawo yokuthumela phakathi kweChina kunye neYurophu yaseMntla ngoFebruwari yayiphezulu kakhulu, ngaphezu kwe-$ 10,000 ngesitya se-40-foot.

Kwangaxeshanye, isalathiso sendawo yesikhongozeli, esibonisa umndilili wemilinganiselo yomthwalo wexesha elifutshane, siqhubekile nokunyuka.Kwiveki ephelileyo, ngokwe-Delury World Container Freight Composite Index WCI, amaxabiso omthwalo kwiindlela zaseShanghai-Northern Europe anyuke ngepesenti ezingama-23 ukuya kwi-4,406 yeedola/FEU, enyuka nge-164 yeepesenti ukusukela nge-21 kaDisemba, ngelixa amaxabiso othutho ukusuka eShanghai ukuya kwiMeditera. wenyuka 25 ekhulwini ukuya $5,213 /FEU, up 166 ekhulwini.

Ukongeza, ukunqongophala kwezixhobo zesikhongozeli ezingenanto kunye nezithintelo zoyilo ezomileyo kwiPanama Canal ziye zanyusa amaxabiso othutho e-trans-Pacific, athe anyuka malunga nesithathu ukusukela ngasekupheleni kukaDisemba ukuya malunga needola ezingama-2,800 ngeenyawo ezingama-40 phakathi kwe-Asiya neNtshona.I-avareji ye-Asia-US eMpuma yomthwalo wempahla inyuke ngeepesenti ze-36 ukususela ngoDisemba ukuya malunga ne-$ 4,200 ngeenyawo ze-40.

Inani leenkampani zokuthumela ngenqanawa zibhengeze imigangatho emitsha yothutho

Nangona kunjalo, la maxabiso amabala aya kujongeka asezantsi kwisithuba seeveki ezimbalwa ukuba iireyithi zenqanawa ziyahlangabezana nokulindelweyo.Eminye imizila yokuthumela i-Transpacific iya kuzisa amaxabiso amatsha e-FAK, asebenzayo ngoJanuwari 15. I-container ye-40-foot iya kubiza i-$ 5,000 kwi-West Coast yase-United States, ngelixa i-container ye-40-foot iya kubiza i-$ 7,000 kwi-East Coast kunye ne-Gulf Coast port.

Njengoko ingxabano iqhubeka nokunyuka kuLwandle oluBomvu, uMaersk ulumkise ukuba ukuphazamiseka kokuthunyelwa kwenqanawa kuLwandle oluBomvu kunokuhlala iinyanga.Njengoyena mqhubi we-liner omkhulu wehlabathi, i-Meditera Shipping (MSC) ibhengeze ukunyuka kwamaxabiso okuthutha ekupheleni kukaJanuwari ukusuka nge-15.Umzi-mveliso uqikelela ukuba amaxabiso othutho e-trans-Pacific anokufikelela phezulu ukusukela ekuqaleni kuka-2022.

I-Mediterranean Shipping (MSC) ibhengeze amaxabiso amatsha othutho kwisiqingatha sesibini sikaJanuwari.Ukususela kwi-15, izinga liya kunyuka ukuya kwi-$ 5,000 kwindlela yase-US-West, i-$ 6,900 kwindlela yase-US-East, kunye ne-$ 7,300 kwindlela yeGulf yaseMexico.

Ukongeza, i-CMA ye-CMA yaseFransi iphinde yabhengeza ukuba ukususela kwi-15, izinga lomthwalo we-20-foot-container ezithunyelwa kumachweba asentshonalanga yeMeditera ziya kunyuka zibe yi-3,500 yeedola, kwaye ixabiso leebhokisi ze-40-foot liya kunyuka ukuya kwi-6,000 yeedola.

Ukungaqiniseki okukhulu kusekho
Imarike ilindele ukuba ukuphazamiseka kwekhonkco lonikezelo kuqhubeke.Uhlalutyo lwedatha ye-Kuehne kunye ne-Nagel ibonisa ukuba ukususela kwi-12, inani leenqanawa ze-container eziphambukisiweyo ngenxa yemeko yoLwandle oluBomvu ziye zamiselwa ukuba zibe yi-388, kunye nomthamo oqikelelwayo we-5.13 yezigidi ze-TEU.Iinqanawa ezingamashumi amane ananye sele zifikile kwindawo yazo yokuqala emva kokuba ziphambukisiwe.Ngokwe-project44 data ye-Logistics analysis firm, ukuthuthwa kweenqanawa mihla le kwi-Suez Canal kwehle ngeepesenti ezingama-61 ukuya kumyinge weenqanawa ze-5.8 ukususela ngaphambi kohlaselo lwaseHouthi.
Abahlalutyi beemarike babonisa ukuba i-US kunye ne-UK ibetha kwiithagethi zeHouthi ayiyi kupholisa imeko yangoku kuLwandle oluBomvu, kodwa iya kwandisa kakhulu ukuxhatshazwa kwendawo, okubangela ukuba iinkampani zokuthutha ziphephe indlela yoLwandle oluBomvu ixesha elide.Uhlenga-hlengiso lwendlela lube nefuthe ekulayishweni nasekukothulweni kweemeko kumazibuko, ngamaxesha okulinda kumazibuko amakhulu oMzantsi Afrika aseThekwini naseKapa afikelela kwinani eliphindwe kabini.

“Andiqondi ukuba iinkampani ezithumela ngenqanawa ziza kubuyela kwindlela yoLwandle oluBomvu kungekudala,” utshilo umhlalutyi wentengiso uTamas."Kum kubonakala ngathi emva kokuba i-US-UK ihlasele iHouthi ekujoliswe kuyo, ukungavisisani kuLwandle oluBomvu akunakuyeka kuphela, kodwa kunyuke."

Ukuphendula kuhlaselo lomoya lwase-US kunye ne-UK ngokuchasene nemikhosi exhobileyo yaseHouthi eYemen, amazwe amaninzi akuMbindi Mpuma avakalise inkxalabo enkulu.Abahlalutyi beemarike bathi kukho ukungaqiniseki okukhulu malunga nemeko yangoku kuLwandle Olubomvu.Nangona kunjalo, ukuba i-Saudi Arabia, i-United Arab Emirates kunye nabanye abavelisi beoli baseMiddle East babandakanyeka kwixesha elizayo, kuya kubangela ukuguquguquka okukhulu kwamaxabiso eoli, kwaye impembelelo iya kuba kude.

IBhanki yeHlabathi ikhuphe isilumkiso esisemthethweni, esalatha kwisiphithiphithi esiqhubekayo se-geopolitical kunye nokuphazamiseka okunokwenzeka konikezelo lwamandla.

Imithombo: Izihloko ze-Chemical fiber, i-Global Textile Network, iNethiwekhi