Kunzima ukuhamba! Iiodolo zehle ngama-80% kwaye ukuthunyelwa kwamanye amazwe kuyehla! Ngaba ufumana impendulo eyakhayo? Kodwa ziyafana nezimbi…

I-PMI yokuvelisa eTshayina yehle kancinci yaya kuma-51.9 ekhulwini ngoMatshi

Isalathisi sabaphathi bokuthenga (i-PMI) kwicandelo lemveliso besiyi-51.9 ekhulwini ngoMatshi, sinciphile ngama-0.7 ekhulwini ukusuka kwinyanga ephelileyo kwaye singaphezulu kweyona nto ibalulekileyo, nto leyo ebonisa ukuba icandelo lemveliso liyanda.

Isalathisi semisebenzi yeshishini engenzi mveliso kunye nesalathisi semveliso ye-PMI edibeneyo zifike kwi-58.2 yepesenti kunye ne-57.0 yepesenti, ngokwahlukeneyo, ukusuka kwi-1.9 kunye ne-0.6 yepesenti yamanqaku kwinyanga ephelileyo. Ezi salathisi zintathu bezikuluhlu lolwandiso kangangeenyanga ezintathu zilandelelana, nto leyo ebonisa ukuba uphuhliso loqoqosho lwaseTshayina lusazinzile kwaye luyaqhubeka.

Umbhali ufumanise ukuba ishishini leekhemikhali libe nekota yokuqala entle kulo nyaka. Amanye amashishini athi ngenxa yokuba abathengi abaninzi babenemfuno engaphezulu kwikota yokuqala, babeza "kusebenzisa" ezinye iimpahla ngo-2022. Nangona kunjalo, ingcinga iyonke kukuba imeko yangoku ayizukuqhubeka, kwaye imeko yemarike kwixesha elizayo ayithembisi kangako.

Abanye abantu bathi ishishini lilula, lithambile, nangona kukho uluhlu lwezinto ezisetyenzisiweyo olucacileyo, kodwa ingxelo yalo nyaka ayithembisi kangako kunaleyo yonyaka ophelileyo, ukuba imakethi elandelayo ayiqinisekanga.

Ingxelo evela kumphathi wenkampani yeekhemikhali ithi iodolo yangoku igcwele, intengiso ingaphezulu kakhulu kunexesha elifanayo kunyaka ophelileyo, kodwa isalumkele abathengi abatsha. Imeko yamazwe ngamazwe nasekhaya imbi kakhulu, kunye nokwehla okukhulu kokuthunyelwa kwamanye amazwe. Ukuba imeko yangoku iyaqhubeka, ndiyoyika ukuba ukuphela konyaka kuya kuba nzima kwakhona.

Amashishini ayasokola kwaye amaxesha anzima

Iifektri ezingama-7,500 zavalwa zaza zachithwa

Kwikota yokuqala ka-2023, izinga lokukhula koqoqosho lwaseVietnam lifikelele “esichengeni esikhulu”, impumelelo kunye nokungaphumeleli kokuthunyelwa kwamanye amazwe.

Kutshanje, iVietnam Economic Review ibike ukuba ukunqongophala kwee-odolo ekupheleni kuka-2022 kusaqhubeka, nto leyo ekhokelela ekubeni amashishini amaninzi asemazantsi anciphise ubungakanani bemveliso, agxothe abasebenzi kwaye anciphise iiyure zokusebenza…

Okwangoku, amashishini angaphezu kwama-7,500 abhalisele ukumisa imisebenzi ngaphakathi kwexesha elimiselweyo, ukuchithwa, okanye ukugqiba iinkqubo zokuchithwa. Ukongeza, ii-odolo kumashishini aphambili okuthumela ngaphandle afana nefenitshala, amalaphu, izihlangu kunye nokutya kwaselwandle zehle kakhulu, nto leyo ebeka uxinzelelo olukhulu kumgomo wokukhula kokuthunyelwa kwamanye amazwe we-6 ekhulwini ngo-2023.

Amanani akutshanje avela kwi-General Bureau of Statistics (GSO) yaseVietnam ayaqinisekisa oku, njengoko ukukhula koqoqosho kuye kwehla ukuya kwi-3.32% kwikota yokuqala yalo nyaka, xa kuthelekiswa ne-5.92% kwikota yesine ka-2022. Inani le-3.32% lelona nani lesibini eliphantsi kwikota yokuqala yaseVietnam kwiminyaka eli-12 kwaye liphantse libe liphantsi njengoko lalinjalo kwiminyaka emithathu eyadlulayo xa kwaqala ubhubhane.

Ngokwezibalo, ii-odolo zelaphu nezihlangu zaseVietnam zehle ngama-70 ukuya kuma-80 ekhulwini kwikota yokuqala. Ukuthunyelwa kweemveliso ze-elektroniki kwehle ngama-10.9 ekhulwini unyaka nonyaka.

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NgoMatshi, umzi-mveliso omkhulu wezihlangu eVietnam, iPo Yuen, wangenisa uxwebhu kwabasemagunyeni malunga nokuphumeza isivumelwano nabasebenzi abamalunga nama-2,400 sokuphelisa iikhontrakthi zabo zomsebenzi ngenxa yobunzima bokufumana iiodolo. Inkampani enkulu, eyayingakwazi ngaphambili ukuqesha abasebenzi abaneleyo, ngoku igxotha inani elikhulu labasebenzi, iinkampani zesikhumba esibonakalayo, izihlangu, kunye nelaphu ziyasokola kakhulu.

Ukuthunyelwa kwamanye amazwe eVietnam kwehle nge-14.8% ngoMatshi

Ukukhula kwe-GDP kwehle kakhulu kwikota yokuqala

Ngowama-2022, uqoqosho lwaseVietnam lukhule nge-8.02% unyaka nonyaka, ukusebenza okudlule oko bekulindelwe. Kodwa ngowama-2023, i-“Made in Vietnam” ifikelele esiphelweni. Ukukhula koqoqosho nako kuyacotha njengoko ukuthunyelwa kwamanye amazwe, apho uqoqosho luxhomekeke khona, kuncipha.

Ukwehla kokukhula kwe-GDP kubangelwe ikakhulu kukuncipha kwemfuno yabathengi, apho intengiso yaphesheya yehla nge-14.8% ngoMatshi ukusuka kunyaka ophelileyo kwaye ukuthunyelwa kwamanye amazwe kwehla nge-11.9% kwikota, itsho i-GSO.

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Oku kuhluke kakhulu kunonyaka ophelileyo. Kuwo wonke unyaka ka-2022, ukuthunyelwa kwempahla neenkonzo eVietnam kufikelele kwi-$384.75 yeebhiliyoni. Phakathi kwazo, ukuthunyelwa kwempahla ngaphandle bekuyi-371.85 yeebhiliyoni zeedola zaseMelika, kunyuke nge-10.6% kunonyaka ophelileyo; Ukuthunyelwa kweenkonzo ngaphandle kufikelele kwi-$12.9 yeebhiliyoni, kunyuke nge-145.2 yeepesenti ngonyaka.

Uqoqosho lwehlabathi lukwimeko enzima nengaqinisekanga, nto leyo ebonisa ingxaki yokunyuka kwamaxabiso aphezulu ehlabathi kunye nemfuno ebuthathaka, itsho i-GSO. IVietnam yenye yezona nkampani zithumela impahla, izihlangu kunye nefenitshala kumazwe angaphandle kakhulu kwihlabathi, kodwa kwikota yokuqala ka-2023, ijongene "nophuhliso olungazinzanga nolunzima kuqoqosho lwehlabathi."

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Njengoko amanye amazwe eqinisa umgaqo-nkqubo wemali, uqoqosho lwehlabathi luya luphucuka kancinci kancinci, nto leyo enciphisa imfuno yabathengi kumaqabane amakhulu orhwebo. Oku kube nefuthe kwiimpahla ezithunyelwa ngaphandle kunye nezokuthunyelwa ngaphandle kweVietnam.

Kwingxelo yangaphambili, iBhanki yeHlabathi ithe izinto ezithengiswayo kunye nezoqoqosho ezixhomekeke ekuthumeleni impahla kwamanye amazwe ezifana neVietnam zisengozini enkulu yokuncipha kwemfuno, kuquka nezokuthunyelwa kwamanye amazwe.

Uqikelelo oluhlaziyiweyo lwe-Wto:

Urhwebo lwehlabathi lucotha ukuya kwi-1.7% ngo-2023

Ayisiyo iVietnam kuphela. ISouth Korea, ilizwe elidumileyo kuqoqosho lwehlabathi, ikwaqhubeka nokubandezeleka kukuthunyelwa kwamanye amazwe okubuthathaka, okongeza kwiinkxalabo malunga nembono yayo yoqoqosho kunye nokuhla kwezoqoqosho kwihlabathi liphela.

Idatha ekhutshwe yiSebe lezoShishino ibonise ukuba ukuthunyelwa kwamanye amazwe kweSouth Korea kwehle kwinyanga yesithandathu ilandelelana ngoMatshi ngenxa yemfuno ebuthathaka yehlabathi yee-semiconductors phakathi koqoqosho olucothayo, wongeza ukuba eli lizwe liye lafumana ukusilela kwezorhwebo kangangeenyanga ezili-13 zilandelelana.

Idatha ibonise ukuba ukuthunyelwa kwamanye amazwe kweSouth Korea kwehle nge-13.6% ngonyaka ukuya kwi-$55.12bn ngoMatshi. Ukuthunyelwa kwamanye amazwe kwee-semiconductors, eyona nto iphambili ekuthunyelweni kwamanye amazwe, kwehle nge-34.5% ngoMatshi.

Ngomhla wesi-5 ku-Epreli, i-World Trade Organisation (WTO) ikhuphe ingxelo yayo yamva nje ethi “Amathemba oRhwebo lweHlabathi kunye neZibalo”, iqikelela ukuba ukukhula komthamo worhwebo lweempahla kwihlabathi liphela kuya kuncipha ukuya kwi-1.7 ekhulwini kulo nyaka, kwaye yalumkisa ngeengozi ezivela kwiingxaki ezingaqhelekanga ezifana nengxabano phakathi kweRashiya ne-Ukraine, uxinzelelo lwezopolitiko, imingeni yokhuseleko lokutya, ukunyuka kwamaxabiso kunye nokuqiniswa komgaqo-nkqubo wemali.

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I-WTO ilindele ukuba urhwebo lwehlabathi kwiimpahla lukhule nge-1.7 pesenti ngo-2023. Oko kungaphantsi kokukhula kwe-2.7 pesenti ngo-2022 kunye nomndilili we-2.6 pesenti kwiminyaka eli-12 edlulileyo.

Nangona kunjalo, eli nani beliphezulu kune-1.0% eyayiqikelelwe ngo-Okthobha. Into ephambili apha kukukhululeka kolawulo lweTshayina kubhubhane, nto leyo i-WTO elindele ukuba iza kukhulula imfuno yabathengi kwaye inyuse urhwebo lwamazwe ngamazwe.

Ngamafutshane, kwingxelo yayo yamva nje, uqikelelo lwe-WTO malunga norhwebo kunye nokukhula kwe-GDP zombini zingaphantsi komndilili weminyaka eli-12 edlulileyo (iipesenti ezingama-2.6 kunye neepesenti ezingama-2.7 ngokwahlukeneyo).


Ixesha lokuthumela: Epreli-12-2023