Njengezinto ezisetyenziswa ekuveliseni i-polyester, ukuguquguquka kwamaxabiso eoli ekrwada kumisela ngokuthe ngqo ixabiso le-polyester. Kwiminyaka emithathu edlulileyo, iingxabano zezopolitiko ziye zaba zezona zinto zibalulekileyo ezichaphazela amaxabiso eoli yamazwe ngamazwe. Kutshanje, imeko yemfazwe phakathi kweRashiya ne-Ukraine itshintshe kakhulu, kwaye kulindeleke ukuba ioyile ekrwada yaseRashiya ibuyele kwimarike yamazwe ngamazwe, enefuthe elibukhali kumaxabiso eoli yamazwe ngamazwe!
Ioyile iza kuhla iye kwi-$60?
Ngokweengxelo zangaphambili zeCCTV, nge-12 kaFebruwari, ngexesha laseMpuma laseMelika, uMongameli wase-US uTrump uthethe ngefowuni noMongameli waseRashiya uVladimir Putin kunye noMongameli wase-Ukraine uVolodymyr Zelensky. La macala mabini avumile "ukusebenzisana ngokusondeleyo" ekupheliseni ingxabano phakathi kweRashiya ne-Ukraine kunye nokuthumela amaqela abo ukuba "aqalise iingxoxo ngoko nangoko."
I-Citi ithe kwingxelo yayo yomhla we-13 kuFebruwari ukuba ulawulo lukaTrump lusebenza kwisicwangciso soxolo ukuzama ukusombulula ingxabano phakathi kweRashiya ne-Ukraine. Esi sicwangciso singabandakanya ukunyanzela iRashiya ne-Ukraine ukuba zifikelele kwisivumelwano sokuphelisa imfazwe ngaphambi komhla wama-20 ku-Epreli 2025. Ukuba siphumelele, esi sicwangciso sinokukhokelela ekususweni kwezinye izohlwayo kwiRashiya, sitshintshe indlela ekunikezelwa ngayo kunye nemfuno ngayo imarike yeoyile yehlabathi.
Ukuhamba kweoyile yaseRashiya kutshintshe kakhulu ukusukela oko kwaqhambuka le ngxabano. Ngokutsho koqikelelo lweCiti, ioyile yaseRashiya yongeze phantse iitoni ezingama-70 zeebhiliyoni zeetoni zeemayile. Kwangaxeshanye, amanye amazwe afana neIndiya anyuse imfuno yawo yeoyile yaseRashiya kakhulu, enyuka ngeebhareli ezingama-800,000 ngosuku kunye neebhareli ezizigidi ezi-2 ngosuku, ngokwahlukeneyo.
Ukuba amazwe aseNtshona angazithomalalisa izohlwayo kwiRashiya aze azibophelele ekulungiseni ubudlelwane bezorhwebo, imveliso yeoyile kunye nokuthunyelwa kwayo kwamanye amazwe kunokunyuka kakhulu. Oku kuya kutshintsha ngakumbi indlela ekubonelelwa ngayo ioyile kwihlabathi liphela.
Kwicala lokubonelela, izigwebo zangoku ezibekwe yi-United States zishiye malunga neebhareli ezingama-30 ezigidi zeoyile yaseRashiya zivaleleke elwandle.
ICiti ikholelwa ukuba ukuba isicwangciso soxolo siyaqhubela phambili, le oyile ilahlekileyo kunye nokusilela kweoyile ngenxa yotshintsho kwiindlela zorhwebo (malunga neebhareli ezimalunga ne-150-200 yezigidi) zinokukhutshwa ziye kwimarike, nto leyo eyandisa uxinzelelo lobonelelo.
Ngenxa yoko, amaxabiso eoyile yeBrent aza kuba phakathi kwe-$60 kunye ne-$65 ngebhereli kwisiqingatha sesibini sowama-2025.
Imigaqo-nkqubo kaTrump inciphisa amaxabiso eoyile
Ukongeza kwinto yaseRashiya, uTrump ukwangomnye wabantu ababangela ukwehla kwamaxabiso eoyile.
Uphando olwenziwe kubaphathi bebhanki abangama-26 yiHaynes Boone LLC ngasekupheleni konyaka ophelileyo lubonise ukuba babelindele ukuba amaxabiso e-WTI ehle aye kwi-$58.62 ibhareli ngo-2027, malunga ne-$10 ibhareli ngaphantsi kwamanqanaba angoku, nto leyo ebonisa ukuba iibhanki zilungiselela ukuba amaxabiso ehle ngaphantsi kwe-$60 phakathi kwexesha elitsha likaTrump. UTrump ukhankasele ngesithembiso sokunyanzela abavelisi beoyile ye-shale ukuba bandise imveliso, kodwa akucaci ukuba uzimisele na ukufezekisa eso sithembiso kuba abavelisi beoyile baseMelika ziinkampani ezizimeleyo ezimisela amanqanaba emveliso ikakhulu ngokusekelwe kuqoqosho.
UTrump ufuna ukulawula ukunyuka kwamaxabiso e-US ngokucinezela amaxabiso eoli, iCiti iqikelela ukuba ukuba amaxabiso eoli e-Brent awehla aye kwi-$60 ngebhareli kwikota yesine ka-2025 (amaxabiso eoli e-WTI ayi-$57 ngebhareli), kwaye iiprimiyamu zemveliso yeoyile zihlala zikwizinga langoku, iindleko zokusetyenziswa kwemveliso yeoyile e-US ziya kwehla phantse nge-$85 yeebhiliyoni ngonyaka. Oko kumalunga ne-0.3 yepesenti ye-GDP yase-US.
Iyintoni impembelelo kwimarike yempahla zelaphu?
Ixesha lokugqibela iNew York crude oil futures (WTI) yehla ngaphantsi kwe-$60 yayingoMatshi 29, 2021, xa ixabiso leNew York crude oil futures lehla laya kwi-$59.60 / ibhareli. Okwangoku, iBrent crude futures irhwebe nge-$63.14 ngebhareli ngaloo mini. Ngelo xesha, ipolyester POY yayimalunga ne-7510 yuan / itoni, iphezulu nangakumbi kune-7350 yuan / itoni yangoku.
Nangona kunjalo, ngelo xesha, kwikhonkco leshishini le-polyester, i-PX yayiseyeyona inkulu, ixabiso laqhubeka linamandla, kwaye lithatha uninzi lwenzuzo yekhonkco leshishini, kwaye imeko yangoku iye yatshintsha kakhulu.
Kuphela ngokwembono yomahluko, nge-14 kaFebruwari, isivumelwano se-New York crude oil futures 03 savalwa kwi-70.74 yuan/ton, ukuba ifuna ukuhla iye kwi-60 yeedola, kukho umahluko weedola ezili-10.
Emva kokuqala kwale ntwasahlobo, nangona ixabiso le-polyester filament linyuke kakhulu, umdla wamashishini okuluka izinto eziluhlaza usaqhelekile, awukashukunyiswa, kwaye ingqondo yokulinda nokubona iyaqhubeka, kwaye uluhlu lwezinto ze-polyester luyaqhubeka nokuqokelelana.
Ukuba ioyile ekrwada ingena kumjelo ophantsi, iya kwandisa kakhulu ulindelo lwemarike lwezinto ezikrwada, kwaye uluhlu lwezinto zepolyester luya kuqhubeka luqokelelana. Nangona kunjalo, kwelinye icala, ixesha lelaphu ngoMatshi liyeza, inani lee-odolo linyukile, kwaye kukho imfuno eqinileyo yezinto ezikrwada, ezinokukwazi ukunciphisa impembelelo yeoyile ekrwada ephantsi ukuya kwinqanaba elithile.
Ixesha leposi: Februwari-25-2025