Ngeveki yokuqala yoNyaka oMtsha (ngoJanuwari 2-5), imarike yekotoni yamazwe ngamazwe ayiphumelelanga ukuphumeza isiqalo esihle, i-index ye-dollar yase-US iphinde ibuyele ngamandla kwaye yaqhubeka iqhuba kwizinga eliphezulu emva kokuphindaphinda, i-stock market yase-US yawa. ephezulu yangaphambili, impembelelo yemarike yangaphandle kwimarike yekotoni yayiyi-bearish, kwaye imfuno yekotoni iqhubekile ukucinezela impembelelo yamaxabiso ekotoni.Ikamva le-ICE lincame ezinye zeenzuzo zangaphambi kweholide kusuku lokuqala lokurhweba emva kweholide, emva koko lahla linyuka, kwaye ikontrakthi ephambili kaMatshi ekugqibeleni ayivalwanga ngaphezulu kweesenti ezingama-80, yehla nge-0.81 yeesenti zeveki.

NgoNyaka omtsha, iingxaki ezibalulekileyo zonyaka odlulileyo, ezifana nokunyuka kwamaxabiso kunye neendleko eziphezulu zokuvelisa, kunye nokunciphisa okuqhubekayo kweemfuno, kusaqhubeka.Nangona kubonakala ngathi kusondele kwaye kusondele kwi-Federal Reserve ukuqala ukusika inzala, ukulindela kweemarike kumgaqo-nkqubo akufanele kube kuninzi, kwiveki ephelileyo iSebe lezeMisebenzi lase-US likhuphe idatha ye-US engekho-fama yengqesho ngoDisemba kwakhona idlulile ukulindela kweemarike. , kunye nokunyuka kwamaxabiso okwethutyana kwenza imeko yemalike yezemali yatshintsha rhoqo.Nokuba imeko ye-macroeconomic iphucuka kancinci kulo nyaka, kuya kuthatha ixesha elide ukuba imfuno yomqhaphu ibuyiselwe.Ngokutsho kovavanyo lwamva nje lwe-International Textile Federation, ukususela kwisiqingatha sesibini sonyaka ophelileyo, onke amakhonkco ekhonkco leshishini leengubo zehlabathi angenile kwi-odolo ephantsi, uluhlu lweempawu kunye nabathengisi lusephezulu, kulindeleke ukuba kuya kuthatha iinyanga ezininzi ukufikelela kwibhalansi entsha, kwaye inkxalabo malunga nemfuno ebuthathaka iba mbi ngakumbi kunangaphambili.

Kwiveki ephelileyo, iphephancwadi laseMelika iCotton Farmer lipapashe uphando olutshanje, iziphumo zibonisa ukuba kwi-2024, indawo yokutyala ikotoni yase-United States kulindeleke ukuba inciphise i-0.5% ngonyaka, kwaye amaxabiso exesha elizayo angaphantsi kwe-80 cent awathandeki kumafama ekotoni.Nangona kunjalo, akunakwenzeka ukuba isomiso esibi kakhulu kwiminyaka emibini edlulileyo kuya kwenzeka kwakhona kwingingqi yokuvelisa ikotoni yase-United States kulo nyaka, kwaye phantsi komqathango wokuba izinga lokulahlwa kunye nesivuno kwindawo nganye yeyunithi ibuyele ngokuqhelekileyo, eUnited States. imveliso yekotoni kulindeleke ukuba inyuke kakhulu.Ukuqwalasela ukuba ikotoni yaseBrazil kunye nekotoni yase-Australia ibambe isabelo semarike yekotoni yase-US kule minyaka mibini idlulileyo, imfuno yokungenisa ikotoni yase-US icinezelekile ixesha elide, kwaye ukuthunyelwa kwe-cotton e-US kuye kwaba nzima ukuvuselela ixesha elidlulileyo, lo mkhwa uya kuba nzima. ukucinezela amaxabiso ekotoni ixesha elide.

Ngokubanzi, uluhlu olusebenzayo lwamaxabiso ekotoni kulo nyaka aluyi kutshintsha kakhulu, imozulu embi kakhulu yonyaka ophelileyo, amaxabiso ekotoni anyuka kuphela ngaphezulu kweesenti ezili-10, kwaye ukusuka kwindawo ephantsi yonyaka wonke, ukuba imozulu kulo nyaka ithande ukuba yesiqhelo, Amathuba amakhulu amazwe sisingqisho semveliso eyandisiweyo, amaxabiso ekotoni azinzile abuthathaka ukusebenza okunokwenzeka mkhulu, aphezulu kwaye aphantsi kulindeleke ukuba afane nonyaka ophelileyo.Ukunyuka kwexesha lonyaka kumaxabiso ekotoni kuya kuba mfutshane ukuba imfuno iyaqhubeka ingaphumeleli ukugcina.

Umthombo: China Cotton Network