Kwiveki yokuqala yoNyaka oMtsha (nge-2-5 kaJanuwari), imakethi yekotoni yamazwe ngamazwe ayizange iqale kakuhle, i-US dollar index yaphinda yanda kakhulu yaza yaqhubeka nokusebenza kwinqanaba eliphezulu emva kokubuya kwakhona, imakethi yesitokhwe yaseMelika yehla ukusuka kwinqanaba eliphezulu langaphambili, impembelelo yemakethi yangaphandle kwimakethi yekotoni yayingasekho, kwaye imfuno yekotoni yaqhubeka nokuthintela impembelelo yamaxabiso ekotoni. I-ICE futures yanikezela ezinye zeenzuzo zangaphambi kweholide ngosuku lokuqala lokurhweba emva kweholide, yaza yatshintsha yehla, kwaye isivumelwano esiphambili sikaMatshi ekugqibeleni savalwa kancinci ngaphezulu kweesenti ezingama-80, sehla ngeesenti ezingama-0.81 ngeveki.
KuNyaka oMtsha, iingxaki ezibalulekileyo zonyaka ophelileyo, ezinje ngokunyuka kwamaxabiso kunye neendleko zemveliso eziphezulu, kunye nokuncipha okuqhubekayo kwemfuno, zisaqhubeka. Nangona kubonakala ngathi kusondela ngakumbi kwiFederal Reserve ukuqala ukunciphisa amazinga enzala, ulindelo lwemarike malunga nomgaqo-nkqubo akufuneki lube ngaphezulu, kwiveki ephelileyo iSebe lezeMisebenzi lase-US likhuphe idatha yengqesho engeyiyo eyezolimo yase-US ngoDisemba kwakhona idlule kulindelo lwemarike, kwaye ukunyuka kwamaxabiso okwethutyana kwenza imeko yemarike yezemali itshintsha rhoqo. Nokuba imeko yezoqoqosho iyaphucuka kancinci kulo nyaka, kuya kuthatha ixesha elide ukuba imfuno yomqhaphu ibuye kwakhona. Ngokutsho kophando lwamva nje lwe-International Textile Federation, ukusukela kwisiqingatha sesibini sonyaka ophelileyo, zonke iikhonkco zeshishini leempahla zelaphu zehlabathi zingene kwimeko yee-odolo eziphantsi, uluhlu lweemveliso kunye nabathengisi lusephezulu, kulindeleke ukuba kuthathe iinyanga ezininzi ukufikelela kwibhalansi entsha, kwaye inkxalabo malunga nemfuno ebuthathaka iyakhula ngakumbi kunangaphambili.
Kwiveki ephelileyo, iphephancwadi i-American Cotton Farmer lipapashe uphando lwamva nje, iziphumo zibonisa ukuba ngo-2024, indawo yokutyala umqhaphu e-United States kulindeleke ukuba yehle nge-0.5% ngonyaka, kwaye amaxabiso exesha elizayo angaphantsi kweesenti ezingama-80 awabangeli mdla abalimi bemqhaphu. Nangona kunjalo, akunakwenzeka ukuba imbalela enkulu yeminyaka emibini edlulileyo ibuyele kwakhona kummandla ovelisa umqhaphu e-United States kulo nyaka, kwaye phantsi kwemeko yokuba izinga lokulahla kunye nesivuno ngeyunithi nganye sibuyele kwisiqhelo, imveliso yomqhaphu e-United States kulindeleke ukuba inyuke kakhulu. Njengoko umqhaphu waseBrazil kunye nomqhaphu wase-Australia zithathe isabelo semarike yomqhaphu wase-US kwiminyaka emibini edlulileyo, imfuno yokungenisa umqhaphu wase-US iye yancitshiswa ixesha elide, kwaye ukuthunyelwa komqhaphu e-US kube nzima ukuvuselela ixesha elidlulileyo, le ndlela iya kunciphisa amaxabiso omqhaphu ixesha elide.
Lilonke, uluhlu oluqhubekayo lwamaxabiso omqhaphu kulo nyaka aluyi kutshintsha kakhulu, imozulu embi kakhulu yonyaka ophelileyo, amaxabiso omqhaphu anyuke ngaphezulu kweesenti ezili-10 kuphela, kwaye ukusuka kwinqanaba eliphantsi lonyaka wonke, ukuba imozulu yalo nyaka idla ngokuba yeqhelekileyo, amathuba amakhulu amazwe kukukhula kwemveliso, amaxabiso omqhaphu azinzileyo, amathuba okusebenza abuthathaka aphezulu, kulindeleke ukuba aphezulu naphantsi afane nonyaka ophelileyo. Ukunyuka kwamaxabiso omqhaphu ngexesha lonyaka kuya kuba lixesha elifutshane ukuba imfuno iyaqhubeka nokusilela ukuqhubeka.
Umthombo: Inethiwekhi yeCotton yaseTshayina
Ixesha leposi: Jan-11-2024