Nangona ezinye izinto ezithengiswayo zasekhaya zibuthathaka, i-cotton futures "isebenze ngcono" kwaye yaqala ukunyuka ukusukela ekupheleni kukaMatshi. Ngokukodwa, emva kokuphela kukaMatshi, ixabiso le-cotton futures main contract 2309 lenyuka kancinci, ukunyuka okuqokelelweyo okungaphezulu kwe-10%, eyona nto iphezulu kakhulu ngaphakathi kwemini ifikelele kwi-15510 yuan/ton, malunga nokunyuka okutsha phantse kwisiqingatha sonyaka.
umfanekiso
Imfashini yakutshanje yekamva lomqhaphu
UZheng Mian uyavuka kwakhona
Ukubrasha okuqhubekayo ngaphezu konyaka onesiqingatha ubude
Kwangaxeshanye, ugxininiso lwasekhaya kwicala lokubonelela ngeendaba ezilungileyo, umqhaphu waseZheng uqhubekile nokuhlaziya umgangatho ophezulu. Ngomhla wama-28 ku-Epreli, isivumelwano esiphambili somqhaphu waseZheng sivale kwi-15485 yuan/ton, ukunyuka kwemihla ngemihla kwe-1.37%. Kwaye isivumelwano sakha safikelela kwi-15,510 yuan/ton, ngaphezulu konyaka onesiqingatha ixabiso eliphambili liphezulu.
Ikamva le-ICE cotton linyuke ngobusuku obunye emva kokuba ingxelo ye-USDA ibonise ukunyuka okukhulu kokuthunyelwa kwe-cotton kwamanye amazwe. Isivumelwano se-ICE July cotton sinyuke ngeesenti eziyi-2.04, okanye iipesenti eziyi-2.6, safikelela kwi-78.36 cents ngeponti.
Kwimarike yasekhaya, ukwehla kwendawo yokutyala uNyaka oMtsha yasekhaya kunye nemozulu embi kwiindawo eziphambili ezivelisa umqhaphu, icala lokubonelela ngeendaba ezilungileyo zokukhuthaza ixabiso lomqhaphu eliphambili. Nangona kunjalo, utshintsho lwemozulu kunye nokutyala umqhaphu kunye nokukhula kusafuneka kulandelwe rhoqo, kwaye kusafuneka kujongwe ukuba imeko yokuvuna inokwenzeka na kuNyaka oMtsha. Imfuno, ii-odolo ezintsha ngokubanzi, iinkxalabo zemfuno zithintela umkhwa wamaxabiso omqhaphu. Inkqubela phambili yophando lwembewu yomqhaphu yaseTshayina ibonisa ukuba phakathi ku-Epreli, izinto zemozulu zalo nyaka azilungele ukuhlwayelwa, inkqubela yokuhlwayela iyonke ihamba kancinci kunonyaka ophelileyo, ukuncipha kwemveliso yokutyala kulindeleke ukuba kuqhubeke nokuvunda, kwenze inkxaso enamandla kwixabiso lomqhaphu laseZheng, ixabiso lomqhaphu laseZheng kulindeleke ukuba ligcine umkhwa wokwethuka wexesha elifutshane. Iholide yoSuku lweMeyi isondela, qaphela umngcipheko weholide ende.
Izinto ezibangela amandla omqhaphu wasekhaya
Ukunyusa kwangaphandle, kwangaxeshanye inkxaso yokubonelela ngempahla yasekhaya. UZheng Mian uyaqhubeka nokukhula.
Ngokombono womhlalutyi womqhaphu we-Founder Medium Futures Research Institute uBloomberg, amandla akutshanje omqhaphu wasekhaya, anxulumene kakhulu nezinto ezininzi, enye yingozi enkulu kaMatshi ngenxa yokwandiswa kweFederal Reserve, ukukhululeka kwexesha elifutshane, uloyiko lwemarike luye lwaphela; Okwesibini, iziseko zoshishino lomqhaphu wasekhaya ngokubanzi zigcina iphethini yokubuyela umva kancinci, iziseko zingcono kwiminyaka emibini edlulileyo, ukubuyiswa kokusetyenziswa kwasekhaya kukhawuleza, xa zidityaniswe nendawo yokutyala yalo nyaka inciphile xa kuthelekiswa nonyaka ophelileyo, imakethi ikholelwa ukuba ukunikezelwa kwalo nyaka kuya kuncitshiswa; Okwesithathu, amanani okuthumela ngaphandle ayengcono kunokuba bekulindelwe, ngakumbi kwikota yokuqala, apho kwabonakala ukunyuka kokuthunyelwa kwamanye amazwe kwi-ASEAN nase-Afrika, nto leyo eyavuselela ithemba lemarike kwixesha elizayo.
Nangona amaxabiso omqhaphu nekotoni enyuke kutshanje, isiphelo semarike asishushu njengemarike yexesha elizayo. Kuyabonakala ukuba emva kokuba ixabiso lomqhaphu linyuke laya kwi-15300 yuan/ton, imfuno ephantsi yayimbi kakhulu. Ichaphazeleke kukunyuka komqhaphu, ixabiso leentlobo ngeentlobo zemiqhaphu yekotoni lenyuka, kwaye uninzi lwalo lwahlala luzinzile. Ngokutyelela nokuqonda amashishini asezantsi, kufunyaniswe ukuba ixabiso lomqhaphu langoku linyuka, umqhaphu wekotoni unyuka kancinci, kodwa umzi-mveliso wokuluka awamkelwa. Impahla yesiphelo, ilaphu laqala ukuqokelelana. Ukuba imfuno yangaphakathi neyangaphandle ayiqali, uthotho lwemizi-mveliso ukusuka ezantsi ukuya phezulu, kungekudala umqhaphu wekotoni uya kuqala ukuqokelelana. Ukuba imfuno yangaphakathi neyangaphandle ayinakuguqulwa ngokupheleleyo ngaphambi kokuphela konyaka, ukususwa kwesitokhwe kwesiphelo akunakuqhutywa ngempumelelo, kunokuba yintlekele 'yokuvelisa ngokugqithisileyo'.
Ngokwembono yesiqhelo yexesha lonyaka, ukusuka ngoMeyi ukuya kuJulayi kwixesha lonyaka eliphantsi, kulo nyaka kukwabonakala imeko ethile ethi "ixesha eliphakamileyo aliphumeleli", ukungabikho kwee-odolo kuseyinto ebalulekileyo echaphazela ukwehla komlambo, silindele ukuba ixabiso lekotoni kwimeko yokungabikho kokubuyiselwa okukhulu kwemfuno kunzima ukuligcina liphezulu, ixabiso lasemini kunzima ukuligcina liphezulu, ukukhawuleza kokunyuka kwekotoni kuya kwehla.
Ixesha lokuthumela: Meyi-04-2023