Iindaba zenethiwekhi yeCotton yaseTshayina: Uphando lweendaba oludumileyo lweshishini lekotoni lase-United States oluthi “Cotton farmers Magazine” phakathi kuDisemba ka-2023 lubonise ukuba indawo yokutyala ikotoni yase-United States ngo-2024 kulindeleke ukuba ibe yi-10.19 yezigidi zeehektare, xa kuthelekiswa neSebe lezoLimo lase-United States ngo-Okthobha ka-2023, indawo yokutyala eyona iqikelelweyo yehle malunga ne-42,000 yeehektare, ukwehla kwe-0.5%, kwaye akukho tshintsho lubalulekileyo xa kuthelekiswa nonyaka ophelileyo.
Uphononongo lwemveliso yomqhaphu eMelika ngo-2023
Kunyaka ophelileyo, abalimi bekotoni baseMelika babenethemba ngamathuba okuvelisa, amaxabiso ekotoni ayamkelekile, kwaye ukufuma komhlaba ngaphambi kokutyala kwakwanele, kwaye uninzi lweendawo ezivelisa ikotoni bekulindeleke ukuba ziqale ixesha lokutyala kakuhle. Nangona kunjalo, imvula eninzi eCalifornia naseTexas ibangele izikhukula, amanye amasimi ekotoni aguqulwa abe zezinye izityalo, kwaye ubushushu obukhulu behlobo bubangele ukwehla okukhulu kwesivuno sekotoni, ngakumbi eMzantsi-ntshona, ohlala uphantsi kwembalela embi kakhulu erekhodiweyo ngo-2022. Uqikelelo lwe-USDA lwe-10.23 yezigidi zeehektare ngo-2023 lubonisa ukuba imozulu kunye nezinye izinto zemarike zichaphazele kangakanani uqikelelo lokuqala lweehektare ezili-11-11.5 yezigidi.
Phanda imeko
Olu phando lubonisa ukuba ubudlelwane phakathi komqhaphu kunye namaxabiso ezityalo akhuphisanayo buya kuchaphazela kakhulu izigqibo zokutyala. Kwangaxeshanye, ukunyuka kwamaxabiso okuqhubekayo, imiba yemfuno yomqhaphu kwihlabathi liphela, imiba yezopolitiko neyezopolitiko, kunye neendleko zemveliso eziphakamileyo rhoqo nazo zinempembelelo ebalulekileyo. Ngokusekelwe kuhlalutyo lwexesha elide lobudlelwane bamaxabiso phakathi komqhaphu nombona, i-acreage yomqhaphu yase-US kufuneka ibe malunga ne-10.8 yezigidi zeehektare. Ngokwe-ICE cotton futures yangoku i-77 cents/pound, i-corn futures i-5 dollars/bushel, ixabiso langoku kunelo lokwandiswa komqhaphu kulo nyaka lilungile, kodwa ixabiso lomqhaphu i-77 cents linomtsalane kubalimi bemqhaphu, ummandla wemqhaphu ngokubanzi ubonisa ukuba ixabiso lomqhaphu i-futures lizinzile ngaphezulu kwe-80 cents ukonyusa iinjongo zokutyala.
Olu phando lubonisa ukuba ngo-2024, indawo yokutyala umqhaphu kumzantsi-mpuma we-United States yi-2.15 yezigidi zeehektare, ukwehla kwe-8%, kwaye indawo yamazwe ayizukwanda, kwaye ngokubanzi izinzile kwaye yehlile. Ummandla oseMzantsi-mpuma kulindeleke ukuba ube yi-1.65 yezigidi zeehektare, uninzi lwamazwe luthe tyaba okanye luphantsi kancinci, apho iTennessee kuphela ibona ukwanda okuncinci. Ummandla oseMzantsi-ntshona wawuyi-6.165 yezigidi zeehektare, wehla nge-0.8% ngonyaka, kunye nembalela enkulu ngo-2022 kunye nobushushu obugqithisileyo ngo-2023 busanefuthe elibi kwimveliso yomqhaphu, kodwa isivuno kulindeleke ukuba sibuyele kwimeko entle kancinci. Ummandla wasentshona, kwi-225,000 yeehektare, wehle phantse nge-6 ekhulwini ukusuka kunyaka ophelileyo, kunye neengxaki zamanzi okunkcenkceshela kunye namaxabiso omqhaphu achaphazela ukutyala.
Kunyaka wesibini ngokulandelelana, amaxabiso omqhaphu kunye nezinye izinto ezingalawulekiyo zikhokelele ekubeni abaphenduli bangazithembi ngokupheleleyo izinto ezilindelweyo kwixesha elizayo, abanye abaphenduli bade bakholelwa ukuba i-acreage yomqhaphu yase-US inokwehla iye kwi-9.8 yezigidi zeehektare, ngelixa abanye bekholelwa ukuba i-acreage inokunyuka iye kwi-10.5 yezigidi zeehektare. Uphando lwe-acreage lweCotton Farmers Magazine lubonisa iimeko zemarike ukususela ekupheleni kukaNovemba ukuya ekuqaleni kukaDisemba 2023, xa ukuvunwa komqhaphu wase-US kwakusaqhubeka. Ngokusekelwe kwiminyaka edlulileyo, ukuchaneka kwengqikelelo kuphezulu, okubonelela ishishini ngokutya okuluncedo kokucinga ngaphambi kokukhutshwa kwedatha ye-NCC yendawo ekujoliswe kuyo kunye nedatha esemthethweni ye-USDA.
Umthombo: Iziko loLwazi lweKhothoni laseTshayina
Ixesha leposi: Jan-05-2024