I-What Industrial Co., LTD. (ebizwa ngokuba yi-“What shares”) (nge-24 kaDisemba) ikhuphe isibhengezo sokuba inkampani kunye neLuoyang Guohong Investment Holding Group Co., LTD.
Njengoko umjikelo wokuqiniswa kwebhanki ephambili yehlabathi usondela esiphelweni, ukunyuka kwamaxabiso kumazwe amakhulu ezoqoqosho kuya kuhla kancinci kancinci ukuya kumanqanaba ekujoliswe kuwo.
Nangona kunjalo, ukuphazamiseka kwakutshanje kwindlela yoLwandle oluBomvu kuvuselele inkxalabo yokuba izinto zezopolitiko ziye zaba ngumqhubi obalulekileyo wokunyuka kwamaxabiso ukusukela kunyaka ophelileyo, kwaye ukunyuka kwamaxabiso okuthunyelwa kwempahla kunye nemiqobo yecandelo lokuhambisa izinto kusenokwenzeka ukuba kwakhona kube ngumjikelo omtsha wabaqhubi bokunyuka kwamaxabiso. Ngowama-2024, ihlabathi liza kungenisa unyaka obalulekileyo wonyulo, ngaba imeko yamaxabiso, ekulindeleke ukuba icace, iza kuphinda ingazinzi kwakhona?
Amaxabiso eempahla asabela ngokukhawuleza ekuvalelekeni koLwandle oluBomvu
Uhlaselo olwenziwe ngamaHouthi aseYemen kwiinqanawa ezidlula kwi-Red Sea-Suez Canal corridor lunyukile ukusukela ekuqaleni kwale nyanga. Le ndlela, ebandakanya malunga ne-12% yorhwebo lwehlabathi, idla ngokuthumela iimpahla ezivela eAsia ukuya kumazibuko aseYurophu nasempuma ye-US.
Iinkampani zokuthutha ngenqanawa ziyanyanzeleka ukuba zitshintshe indlela yazo. Ubuninzi beenqanawa zeekhonteyina ezifika kwiGulf of Aden behle ngama-82 ekhulwini kwiveki ephelileyo xa kuthelekiswa nesiqingatha sokuqala sale nyanga, ngokutsho kwezibalo ezivela kwiClarkson Research Services. Ngaphambili, iibhareli zeoyile ezizigidi ezisi-8.8 kunye neetoni ezimalunga nezigidi ezingama-380 zemithwalo zazidlula kule ndlela yonke imihla, nto leyo ethwala phantse isithathu sezithuthi zeekhonteyina kwihlabathi liphela.
Uhambo oluya eCape of Good Hope, oluya kongeza iimayile ezingama-3,000 ukuya kuma-3,500 kwaye longeze iintsuku ezili-10 ukuya kwezili-14, lunyuse amaxabiso kwezinye iindlela zase-Eurasia ukuya kumanqanaba aphezulu phantse kwiminyaka emithathu kwiveki ephelileyo. Inkampani enkulu yokuthutha iMaersk ibhengeze intlawulo eyongezelelweyo ye-$700 kwisikhongozeli esiqhelekileyo seenyawo ezingama-20 kumgca wayo waseYurophu, equka intlawulo eyongezelelweyo yesiphelo se-$200 (TDS) kunye nentlawulo eyongezelelweyo yesizini ephakame ye-$500 (PSS). Ezinye iinkampani ezininzi zokuthutha izithuthi ziye zalandela umzekelo.
Amanani aphezulu empahla anokuba nefuthe ekunyukeni kwamaxabiso. “Amanani empahla aza kuba phezulu kunokuba bekulindelwe kubathumeli kwaye ekugqibeleni abathengi, kwaye oko kuza kuphumela kwixesha elingakanani ekubeni amaxabiso anyuke?” utshilo uRico Luman, ingcali yezoqoqosho ephezulu kwi-ING, kwinqaku lakhe.
Iingcali ezininzi zezothutho zilindele ukuba xa indlela yoLwandle oluBomvu ichaphazelekile ixesha elingaphezu kwenyanga, uthungelwano lokubonelela ngeenkonzo luya kuva uxinzelelo lokunyuka kwamaxabiso, kwaye ekugqibeleni luthwale umthwalo wabathengi, xa sithetha inyani, iYurophu isenokuchaphazeleka ngaphezu kwe-United States. Umthengisi wefenitshala waseSweden kunye nezinto zasekhaya i-IKEA ulumkisile ukuba imeko yeSuez Canal iya kubangela ukulibaziseka kwaye inciphise ukufumaneka kwezinye iimveliso ze-IKEA.
Imakethi isajonge uphuhliso lwamva nje kwimeko yokhuseleko ejikeleze le ndlela. Ngaphambili, i-United States ibhengeze ukumiselwa kweqela elidibeneyo labaphelekezeli ukukhusela ukhuseleko lweenqanawa. Kamva uMaersk wakhupha ingxelo esithi ukulungele ukuqalisa ukuthunyelwa kwakhona kuLwandle oluBomvu. “Okwangoku sisebenza kwisicwangciso sokuhambisa iinqanawa zokuqala kule ndlela ngokukhawuleza kangangoko kunokwenzeka.” Ngokwenza njalo, kubalulekile ukuqinisekisa ukhuseleko lwabasebenzi bethu.”
Ezi ndaba zikwabangele ukwehla okukhulu kwi-European shipping index ngoMvulo. Ngexesha lokushicilela, iwebhusayithi esemthethweni yeMaersk ayikabhengezi ngxelo isemthethweni malunga nokuqaliswa kwakhona kweendlela.
Unyaka wonyulo olukhulu uzisa ukungaqiniseki
Emva kwengxaki yendlela yoLwandle oluBomvu, ikwayindlela entsha yokunyuka komngcipheko wezopolitiko.
Kuthiwa amaHouthi aye ahlasela iinqanawa kule ndawo ngaphambili. Kodwa uhlaselo luye lwanda ukusukela oko kwaqala ingxabano. Eli qela liye lasongela ukuhlasela nayiphi na inqanawa elikholelwa ukuba iya okanye ivela kwaSirayeli.
Uxinzelelo luhlale luphezulu kuLwandle oluBomvu ngempelaveki emva kokuba kusekwe umfelandawonye. Inqanawa yamachiza ephethe iflegi yaseNorway ibike ukuba iphoswe kancinci yidrone yohlaselo, ngelixa inqanawa yamafutha ephethe iflegi yaseIndiya yadutyulwa, nangona kungekho mntu wenzakeleyo. I-US Central Command ithe. Ezi ziganeko zihlaselo lwe-14 kunye nolwe-15 kwiinqanawa zorhwebo ukusukela nge-17 ka-Okthobha, ngelixa iinqanawa zemfazwe zase-US zadubula iidrone ezine.
Kwangaxeshanye, i-Iran kunye ne-United States, i-Israel kummandla malunga nomba we-"rhetoric" ikwavumela ihlabathi langaphandle ukuba lixhalabele imeko yokuqala engxamisekileyo kuMbindi Mpuma iya kuba yingozi engakumbi.
Enyanisweni, unyaka ka-2024 ozayo uza kuba “ngunyaka wonyulo” wokwenene, apho kukho unyulo oluninzi kwihlabathi liphela, kuquka i-Iran, i-India, iRashiya nezinye izinto ezijoliswe kuzo, kwaye unyulo lwase-US luxhalabile kakhulu. Ukudibana kweengxabano zengingqi kunye nokwanda kobuzwe basekunene nako kwenze ukuba iingozi zezopolitiko zingabi nakulinganiswa.
Njengento ebalulekileyo enempembelelo kulo mjikelo wokunyuka kwenzala yebhanki ephakathi yehlabathi, ukunyuka kwamaxabiso amandla okuqhutywa kukunyuka kwamaxabiso eoli ekrwada kunye negesi yendalo emva kokunyuka kwemeko e-Ukraine akunakutyeshelwa, kwaye ukutshayelwa kweengozi zezopolitiko kwikhonkco lokubonelela kukwabangele iindleko eziphezulu zokuvelisa ixesha elide. Ngoku amafu asenokuba abuyele. I-Danske Bank ithe kwingxelo ethunyelwe kwintatheli yokuqala yezemali ukuba uMeyi ka-2024 uza kuphawula utshintsho kwingxabano ye-Russia-Ukraine, kwaye kuyimfuneko ukuqwalasela ukuba inkxaso yomkhosi ye-United States kunye nePalamente yaseYurophu kwi-Ukraine iya kutshintsha na, kwaye unyulo lwe-United States lunokubangela ukungazinzi kummandla we-Asia-Pacific.
'Amava eminyaka embalwa edlulileyo abonisa ukuba amaxabiso anokuchatshazelwa kakhulu kukungaqiniseki kunye nezinto ezingaziwayo,' utshilo uJim O'Neil, owayesakuba yingcali yezoqoqosho eGoldman Sachs kunye nosihlalo weGoldman Asset Management, kutshanje malunga nembono yokunyuka kwamaxabiso kunyaka ozayo.
Ngokufanayo, i-CEO ye-UBS uSergio Ermotti uthe akakholelwa ukuba iibhanki eziphambili zilawulwa kukunyuka kwamaxabiso. Ubhale phakathi kule nyanga esithi “umntu akufuneki azame ukuqikelela iinyanga ezimbalwa ezizayo – phantse akunakwenzeka.” Le ndlela ibonakala ilungile, kodwa kufuneka sibone ukuba oku kuya kuqhubeka na. Ukuba ukunyuka kwamaxabiso kuzo zonke iindawo ezinkulu zoqoqosho kusondela kwithagethi ye-2 yepesenti, umgaqo-nkqubo webhanki eziphambili unokuncipha kancinci. Kule meko, kubalulekile ukuba nokuguquguquka.”
Umthombo: I-intanethi
Ixesha lokuthumela: Disemba-28-2023